Independent Country

James Leroy Wilson's one-man magazine.

Tuesday, August 26, 2025

"You are what your record says you are."

 

Bill Parcells as head football coach at the U.S. Air Force Academy, 1978 (public domain)


Last Friday (August 22, 2025) was the 84th birthday of Pro Football Hall of Fame coach Bill Parcells. Parcells won the Super Bowl twice with the Giants and the AFC Championship with the Patriots – one of just eight coaches with at least three Super Bowl appearances and at least two wins. He also reached the playoffs with the Jets and twice with the Cowboys. When he took over football operations (in a non-coaching role) with the Dolphins in 2008, the team's win-loss record improved from 1-15 to 11-5. He is an NFL legend.


Parcells once said something that I think about virtually every day, especially when thinking about sports: "You are what your record says you are."


I agree with the quote, with three provisos..


First, the quote applies only to your (or your organization's or team's) results in results-driven endeavors. Social expectations and other people's judgments on how you've lived your life aren't your "record."


You may have been divorced seven times and are planning your eighth wedding. Some in your circles may say, "You are what your record is, and obviously, you're bad at marriage. Don't do it." 


Whereas another may say, "You are what your record is, and your record says that you have lovable traits that make people want to be with you, and you are an eternal optimist."


In my opinion, however, this is not what Parcells meant by the quote. A "successful marriage" doesn't fit objective criteria like a team's win-loss record. You're in a successful marriage if you're happy to be in it, not because there are "results" to measure.


Second, "you are what your record says you are" isn't about your worth as a human person, but only about success in the endeavor. When it's said of a high schooler, "He's a C student," that means his school grades are mostly Cs and average out to a C. "He is what his (academic) record says he is." 


It's not even a reflection of the student's intelligence or effort. But the academic record may impact his prospects regarding acceptance at preferred colleges and universities. It's up to the student, his family, teachers, and counselors to determine if there are ways to improve his grades. By his senior year, however, he should be aware that universities receiving his application are under no obligation to look beyond his mediocre grades. They must review countless applications and have no time for excuses. They see him as a C student because that's what he showed himself to be.


Third, you are what your record says at the end


A movie studio may have a humdrum winter and spring, but it knows the year will depend on whether its summer and Christmas releases will be blockbusters. The studio isn't what its box office receipts are as of March 31. 


You don't judge a horse by where it is after a half-mile of the Kentucky Derby. The same can be said of team records after only a portion of the season, especially when there are numerous playoff spots open.


The 2001 Patriots started 1-3. After ten games, they were 5-5. They finished the regular season 11-5, first in their division and with a first-round bye. Oh, and they won the Super Bowl. 


The Patriots weren't a bad team at 1-3 (although they did make an injury-driven change at quarterback), and they weren't a mediocre team at 5-5. They were a good team because they ended as a good team. Bad teams rarely recover from a 1-3 start, and mediocre teams don't rise above average.


You don't have to apologize for your successful record. Easy schedule, lucky breaks, a talented player fell into your lap. An excellent record means you took advantage. What can one say but, "Excellent job!"


At the heart of Bill Parcells's meaning in "You are what your record says you are" is that there are no excuses.


You didn't miss the NFL playoffs because of poor officiating in the last game; you missed the playoffs because you lost too many games.


You didn't miss the NCAA Basketball Tournament because the TV networks subtly pressured the Selection Committee to pick a more prominent university over yours; you missed it because you lost too many games.


If your employer allows you to be late for work ten times, and you've filled that quota up because you took too long getting ready (i.e., got up too late), and then get fired because the eleventh time there was a traffic incident that was genuinely not your fault, who is to blame? You are what your punctuality record says you are.


If a corporation lost money last year while its similarly situated rival made a profit, the one thing the CEO can't do is avoid responsibility. Deflecting blame won't turn last year's red into black. You are a money-losing company until you're not.


To say "no excuses" isn't the same as beating myself up for failures. It's just to acknowledge what the performance has been. There is no other way to improve.


A subscription to JL Cells is just $5 per month or $30 per year (a 50% discount). If you enjoy the content, please consider a paid subscription or support me using PayPal with an amount of your choice, or buy me a coffee. Alternatively, you can contact me if you prefer an alternative method.


James Leroy Wilson writes The MVP Chase (subscribe) and JL Cells (subscribe). Thank you for your subscriptions and support! You can contact James for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com.

Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Happy Birthday, Ron Paul!

 Today is the 90th Birthday of Ron Paul, M.D.


Ron Paul Congressional portrait, 2007.


I was already in alignment with Ron Paul's views before I became aware of him in the early 2000s, through his articles on websites I frequented. Paul was a Republican Congressman from Texas, and I vainly hoped he'd run an insurgent campaign against President Bush in the 2004 primaries. 


Paul did make a splash by running in the 2008 GOP primaries. As I wrote in 2016, "The Ron Paul Revolution started on a Republican Presidential debate stage in the spring of 2007, when Rudy Giuliani tried to disparage Ron Paul's foreign policy views. It backfired, and many people took Ron Paul's side." (The moment is captured here.) My collection of essays from this time is called Ron Paul is a Nut (And So Am I).


Dr. Paul ran again in 2012, and with his libertarian ideas reaching more people, presidential candidate Gary Johnson received record numbers of votes for the Libertarian Party in 2012 and 2016. Unfortunately, however, a significant portion of Paul's supporters didn't take his message of peace and liberty to heart. Although Paul was attractive as an "anti-Establishment" candidate, his populist supporters jumped onto the (also seemingly anti-Establishment) Trump movement that targeted the "woke," trans people, and immigrants, none of whom started America's wars or exploded the national debt.


Ron Paul's revolution, however, will never die. It existed long before him, under different names, of course, and will exist long after he's gone. The movement for peace and the movement for liberty are one and the same, and will always be with us.


Peace and liberty are the same issue. This is reflected in something Paul said, "Every time we write a law to control private behavior, we imply that somebody has to arrive with a gun." Paul said this while opposing a proposed Constitutional Amendment to ban desecration of the flag of the United States, but the point applies to every law. If you want a law passed, that means you want armed cops to enforce it. Armed cops represent the threat of violence, which is violence.


Gracearchy's Jim Babka often asks if your neighbor is breaking your leg or stealing your purse. He's paraphrasing Thomas Jefferson, who wrote, "The legitimate powers of government extend to such acts only as are injurious to others. But it does me no injury for my neighbour to say there are twenty gods, or no god. It neither picks my pocket nor breaks my leg."


Ron Paul was asking if you would support violence against your neighbors if they burn the national flag. Yes? Then you're not living in peace with your neighbor.


Apply that to anything your neighbor does that doesn't harm or endanger others without their consent. Are they selling sex? Drugs? Weapons? Jars of jam that the government hasn't inspected? 


What if they seek work for cash only? Or set up a shop without a license?


If you would pass a law - impose violence - to stop what your neighbors are doing, then you're not living peacefully with them.


"But what they're doing is bad for the community (or the country, or society)!"


That only means "I have decided to feel threatened by my neighbor's behavior even though it does me no harm. They should suffer to assuage my irrational fears."



We live in a world made up of nation-states. These are groups of armed gangs that recognize each other's boundaries and internal affairs. It's not ideal, but the best hope for world peace is for each to stay out of the affairs of the others.


If you insist on using violence to stop the peaceful behavior of your next-door neighbor, what chance does the world have for peace among nations? Nations that worship all kinds of gods, that have all sorts of customs we find strange? Or bad? Evil?


The desire to control your neighbor through the threat of State violence is the same desire to eradicate "evil" throughout the world. But it is neither peaceful nor benevolent to threaten people who pose no threat to you.


That's why Ron Paul wrote in a 2007 letter to the Union Leader: "It is not we non-interventionists who are isolationists. The real isolationists are those who impose sanctions and embargoes on countries and peoples across the globe because they disagree with the internal and foreign policies of their leaders. The real isolationists are those who choose to use force overseas to promote democracy, rather than seek change through diplomacy, engagement, and by setting a positive example."


May we have laws that don't intervene in my neighbor's business? And may we have a foreign policy that doesn't intervene in conflicts far away from us.


Happy 90th Birthday, Ron Paul!



A subscription to JL Cells is just $5 per month or $30 per year (a 50% discount). If you enjoy the content, please consider a paid subscription, support me using PayPal with an amount of your choice, buy me a coffee, or contact me if you prefer an alternative method.


James Leroy Wilson writes The MVP Chase (subscribe) and JL Cells (subscribe). Thank you for your subscriptions and support! You can contact James for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com.

Friday, August 15, 2025

The measure of a quarterback

 

Image: Torsten Bolten

In the Spring, I developed a Quarterback Efficiency Rating. I then applied it to the 2024 season and concluded it's better than the NFL's Passer Rating stat and less complicated than ESPN's QBR.  However, this summer I've been wondering if an even simpler formula exists that conforms with the results in the field and what we see with our eyes. While the QER measures things I correctly thought were overlooked in the Passer Rating, such as First Down % and Sack rate, they are unnecessary. 

In short:

The measure of a quarterback is the number of good plays he makes minus the number of bad plays.

The way to find this out is with what I call the Quarterback Index (QBI) that accounts for the significant plays involving the qb:

  • Total up the quarterbacks' first downs and touchdowns, both passing and rushing.

  • Subtract the total number of interceptions, sacks, and fumbles.

That's it!

The QBI recognizes the importance of first downs rather than minutiae like whether the qb averages 7.5 or 8.0 yards per pass. It measures a quarterback's efficiency not by percentages, but by on-field results.

Remarkably, different weights don't need to be assigned to each play. For instance, each touchdown carries the same weight as each first down. Each interception is deducted the same as a sack or fumble, and it doesn't matter if the fumble is recovered or lost.

The numbers bear this out with the results on the field and with our eyes. Here are the leaders (on a per-game basis) in 2024 among players who played last year and are projected to start this year.

GLOSSARY

  • GS: Games Started

  • SP: Superior Plays (or Smart Plays)

  • BP: Bad Plays

  • QBIS: Quarterback Index for the season

  • QBIP: Quarterback Index Per Game; although not included here, "QBIG" would be a quarterback's Index for a particular game.

Note: Teams are the current team of the player, even if they played and won games for a different team last year.

The four quarterbacks universally acknowledged as the best in football finished in the top four in QBIP. Of quarterbacks with double-digit starts, 12 of the top 13 had winning records.

Here are all the projected starters for 2025 and how they did over the 2022-24 seasons:

Among quarterbacks with 32 or more starts, the top ten of QBIP all had winning records. Five of the top six are in the top five in wins over 2022-24, with Joe Burrow tied for seventh.

Among players with 40+ starts, the BP (bad plays) typically average 45-55 per season. Those who are substantially higher are usually sacked more often. 

I'm working on a hypothesis that a quarterback has a great game if he has a QBIG of 14 or more in a game. That means his touchdowns and first downs exceed his sacks, interceptions, and fumbles by 14. I'll see if I can apply that to the MVP Chase this season.

Subscription rates to the MVP Chase are the lowest that Substack allows: $5 per month or $30 per year (a 50% discount). You can also support me through PayPal or contact me using an alternative method. The more support I have, the more content you'll see. Contact me for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com.

Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Beyond Belief

A picture of a fruit gift basket from Baskets Galore Ltd (BGalore)

The following is adapted from a talk I gave at Unity Lincoln on July 13, 2025.

The New Thought movement, of which Unity is a part, was founded by teachers who were formerly students of Mary Baker Eddy's Christian Science movement in the late 19th century. They used the term "Christian Science" themselves in the early years until it was trademarked.

Today, the word "science" refers to a method of arriving at truth, but back then it was used as another word for truth; thus, "Christian science" meant "Christian truth." So instead of "science," the early New Thought leaders began to use the word "truth." As in spiritual truth.

However, we don't need to discard the idea of science entirely. One way science understands how things work is through experimentation. One way to understand spiritual ideas is to put them to the test and experiment.

Jesus said, "You are gods," and one trait of God is to imagine things into existence, just as described in Genesis 1. And I've recently begun an experiment on myself. It is to test a belief. My belief is that imagination creates reality. That is, my imagination creates my reality. It makes sense to me, and I want it to be true. But I don't always feel it to be true. That's why I'm testing my belief that imagination creates reality by turning it into a hypothesis. I'll see if what I imagine comes true.   

But what do I want to imagine? 

I'm reminded of the 20th-century metaphysician and mystic Neville Goddard. In a 1968 lecture titled Power, he said: 

I have had people say to me, “You know, I want that man, and no other man.”

I said, “No, you don’t; you want to be happily married. You don’t want 'that man or no man.'” 

“Oh, yes, that man or no man.”

Then, of course, this always shocks them.

I say, “If he dropped dead right now, would you want to be married?”

“Well, he isn’t going to drop…”

“I didn’t ask you that. If he dropped dead right now, or if he is right this very moment accused of being the world’s greatest thief or murderer, do you still want him”

“Well, now, why ask those questions, Neville? I want that man.”

But, you see, it isn’t that man. They want to be happily married. I have gone to so many weddings where it was either that man or none, and it wasn’t "'that man"! And they are embarrassed when they see me standing in the aisle, because it had to be “that man or no man,” and here it isn’t that man at all. And they walk down – they are happy with their new mate, but a little sheepish as they pass by because they know I know he was not the man."

Neville got to the heart of it when these women would come to him for advice. They wanted to be happily married, but they couldn't see beyond the current guy or the current situation.

In the same sense, you don't want to win the lottery, you want the money to have and do whatever you want. You don't want to see that world-renowned specialist for your condition; you want to get well.

Neville says to "live in the end," to live as if you already have what you want, and don't dwell on how you got there. That is, assume the feeling, or feel the feeling, that you would have if your wish is fulfilled. 

To "assume" doesn't mean only to believe that it is true; it is to be the person you think you would be if your wish is fulfilled. That is, like a method actor, assume you are the person you want to be.

How do you do that? Through imagination. I'm experimenting with my imagination. I imagine being the person I want to be, after having accomplished or manifested what I want. How would I think? How would I act? How would I feel?

Well, if my imagination is truly a divine power, then the fruits of that power should manifest once I become the person I aspire to be, the one who possesses what I desire.

If I had what I wanted, I imagine that I would be happier. That's the point! And happiness manifests itself in different ways. These are known as the Fruits of the Spirit. I had them memorized as a kid because they were in a song from an album of a gospel group we'd listen to. The chorus went "Love, joy, peace, patience, kindness, goodness and faithfulness, gentleness, and self-control."

It was catchy, so the words were easy to remember, and I knew that, in theory, the Christian life had a lot to do with those words. But more importantly, these fruits of the spirit seemed to me to be the traits of a happy person.

They come from the Apostle Paul in Galatians Chapter 5:

22 But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, patience, kindness, goodness, faith,23 gentleness, and self-control. Against such things there is no law.

I quoted from the World English Bible. It says "faith" instead of "faithfulness," which is found in some other translations. While "faithfulness" is also great, I'm using "faith" because it works better for how I break down my experiment.

The experiment focuses on these fruits of the Spirit, watering the spiritual trees so they grow big and bountiful, producing an abundance of these qualities. 

While I'm not going to publicly share what it is that I want, I will discuss how I would feel if I had it. I may be happy now, but I'd be happier. And I think because I'd be happier, I'd be more naturally inclined to exhibit these traits that Paul lists as the fruits of the Spirit. 

But in the traditional way of listing the fruits of the Spirit, we might think there is overlap or repetition. For instance, it says 'love' and also 'kindness,' but doesn't love already encompass kindness? It says goodness and self-control, but isn't self-control, or staying away from temptations, part of what we already understand as being good?

So I'm narrowing down the fruits into more distinct ideas.

Love - I'm narrowing it to appreciation. If I had what I wanted, I'd feel a sense of relief, and then feel a greater understanding of Oneness. I would see the beauty of everyone and everything around me. I would love to be here; I would feel a greater appreciation for being part of this world and universe.

Joy - I'm turning that to radiance. Have you ever been on a vacation or at a convention organized around people with the same values or interests as you? Everyone was already a friend, even before you met them. When I've done it, it felt like one long party, so that even when there weren't official gatherings, people who didn't know each other would spontaneously get together and do stuff. If I had what I wanted, I would feel that way and radiate a spirit of fun, where everyone I meet is a friend and everything I do is an adventure.

Peace. I'm really narrowing that word down to relaxed. Peace is one of those big words, but I'm stripping it down to the essence of inner peace. If I had what I wanted, I would feel relaxed, I would be free from stress, and have nothing to worry about. I'd be chill.  

Patience. I'm turning that into forgiveness. Patience is a form of forgiving, even before the thing to be forgiven is done. If I had what I wanted, I would be less likely to get frustrated or bothered by people or things. I would see the divinity in them and realize that they are not here to serve me; they are not here for me to control. They are here for me to love.

Kindness. I'm turning that into encouragement. Aldous Huxley once said, "It's a bit embarrassing to have been concerned with the human problem all one's life and find at the end that one has no more to offer by way of advice than 'Try to be a little kinder.' I agree with him, but I won't try to be kind. Instead, if I had I wanted, I would hope that my instinct or impulse would be to help or encourage others. If I had what I wanted, I hope I would not only radiate my joy but also share my joy by making others smile.

Goodness - I'm turning that into trustworthiness. Traditional Christianity may describe goodness as a form of moral excellence that incorporates healthy habits or virtues and refrains from vices. However, I understand the greatest of these virtues to be trustworthiness - keeping one's promises. That's what we expect from God, isn't it? "In God we trust." And, what is God but a name for the good? A good employee is someone you can trust to show up on time and fulfill their agreed-upon responsibilities. What is a good person, but someone who is honest, who you can trust, who won't cheat? If I had I wanted, I'd be less tempted to overbook or overcommit or cut corners in order to please people in the hopes of getting something in return. I'd be more naturally focused, and get more things done.

Faith. I'm switching that to boldness. "Faith is assurance of things hoped for, proof of things not seen." (Hebrews 11:1). Faith is confidence in the outcome, so faith inspires boldness. If I had what I wanted, I'd be more confident that everything always works out for me; I'd be satisfied that all is well. I would therefore not be afraid to do something new. It wouldn't even be courage or bravery. I have faith that I can put on my socks or brush my teeth. I would just apply that faith to more things. If something is possible, why not have the faith to boldly make it happen?

Gentleness. I think of gentleness as graciousness. Grace in the way you speak to others, move, and handle people and things—good manners combined with empathy, plus mindful but effortless action. I'd like to think that if I had what I wanted, I'd be less self-absorbed in my problems and would be better able to "read the room" and become attuned to each person's needs.

Self-control. I would use the word "awareness." If I had everything I want, I wouldn't be pulled in so many directions, I wouldn't be distracted by overthinking, and I would be better able to filter out thoughts that don't serve me. 

The experiment involves imagining having these traits and being the person I want to be, which comes from having what I want. When I'm anxious or sad about something, I take every opportunity to imagine who I want to be. And I redefined the fruits of the spirit for myself as appreciative, radiant, relaxed, forgiving, encouraging, trustworthy, bold, gracious, and aware.

I've already found that simply changing the words from broad concepts like "love" and "peace" to more narrowly defined words enables me to focus more effectively in my imagination and affirmations. The experiment is whether imagining these fruits and feelings will make them come to me naturally, without the imagination. If I imagined being happier until I became happier, that means the experiment will have worked. Beyond believing that imagination creates reality, I would know it.

So that's what I'm doing. If your spiritual practices are growing stagnant or you're experiencing a setback of some kind, perhaps revising certain words or ideas in your affirmations or prayer life could be helpful. If you visualize the outcomes you want, you may also want to focus on the feelings you want to experience in those outcomes. Just don't be afraid to play with, to experiment, with your spiritual life. 

May you enjoy life to the fullest!


A subscription to JL Cells is just $5 per month or $30 per year (a 50% discount). If you enjoy the content, please consider a paid subscription, support me using PayPal with an amount of your choice, buy me a coffee, or contact me if you prefer an alternative method. 

James Leroy Wilson writes The MVP Chase (subscribe) and JL Cells (subscribe). Thank you for your subscriptions and support! You can contact James for writing, editing, research, and other work at jamesleroywilson-at-gmail.com.